“We must seriously consider that the risk of Russia using military force against Ukraine is possible,” Wojciech Lorenz, an international security analyst with PISM, said on Polish Radio 24.
Russia may have up to 130,000 soldiers near the Ukrainian borders. This applies to both the military on the Russian-Ukrainian border, and soldiers stationed in the Donbass and undergoing training in Belarus. The Americans warn that an invasion of Ukraine could happen “at any moment.”
– The forces that Russia has concentrated on the border with Ukraine are unprecedented. This level of pressure and intimidation has not been seen since the end of the Cold War. We must seriously consider the possible risk of the use of military force. So far, Putin has not gone that far,” the PISM analyst explained.
“Strengthen Consistency”
He added that the West must now do everything to make it difficult for Moscow to act in relation to Kiev. The PR24 guest mentioned the increased political costs and the threat of possible financial costs and related activities for NATO and the US to increase their presence on the eastern flank.
– If Putin decides to act aggressively, it will be more difficult for him to build a propaganda message. However, it is important that Zachow reinforce political coherence and message. According to Dr. Wojciech Lorenz, most of the countries farther from Russia believe that Putin was provoked by NATO expansion and are taking self-defense measures.