After an exceptionally strong 2023–2024 winter season, Mallorca is facing a worrying decline in the German market. Last year forecasts predicted record growth: flight bookings rose by 7%, and Germans made up at least half of all foreign visitors between November and March.
But in 2025 everything changed. Projections show a potential 10% drop in German arrivals. AECFA reported a 13% reduction in flights to Palma and a 9% decrease in available seats. IATA recorded a 9.8% fall in bookings from Germany to the Balearic Islands, with 90% affecting Mallorca. According to Turespaña, several recent developments have damaged the island’s image abroad.
For the first time, the Spanish Tourism Institute acknowledged the impact of anti-tourism protests, heavily covered in German media. Travelers also cite overcrowding and the tourist tax, even though winter rates are just a quarter of the summer ones.
The decline became visible in May and continued through summer. By July, the decrease exceeded 8%. Turespaña’s Berlin office notes that Germany’s economic challenges — inflation, unemployment and rising costs of living — only accelerate the shift.
DIP explains: why more tourists are choosing Egypt instead
Mallorca is not the only destination losing visitors. Turkey — traditionally one of the top winter choices — has been hit by extreme inflation over the past two years. Prices in hotels tripled in some areas, while restaurants significantly raised their rates to offset rising energy and product costs.
Price-sensitive travelers are reconsidering their winter plans. According to market studies, the number of visitors switching from Turkey to Egypt increased by 15–20% in 2024.
Egypt benefits from stable prices, affordable resorts and strong winter demand. Analysts suggest this trend will continue, as tourists become increasingly budget-conscious.